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Trends, prices, and surprises from the first half of the year
We’re officially past the halfway mark of 2025—and if you’ve been watching the Northern Virginia real estate market, you know it’s been anything but predictable.
Here’s a quick breakdown of what’s driving the numbers, what’s holding steady, and what could shift as we head into the second half of the year.
1. Prices: Resilient and Still Rising (Slowly)
Despite fears of a cooldown, home prices in Northern Virginia have held firm. In fact, median home prices in areas like Fairfax, Arlington, and Loudoun are still inching upward—though not at the pace we saw in 2020–2022.
Why? Supply remains tight, and motivated buyers are willing to pay a premium for move-in-ready homes.
2. Inventory: Still Playing Catch-Up
New listings are up slightly from early 2024, but they’re nowhere near meeting demand. Many homeowners are still holding onto their low-interest mortgages and choosing to stay put.
This low inventory continues to create a competitive environment, especially for homes under the $750K mark.
3. Buyers: Serious, Not Scattered
The buyers who are active right now aren’t just browsing—they’re buying. Many are local movers, job relocations, or first-time buyers who’ve finally adjusted to higher interest rates and are ready to act.
That means well-priced homes are still getting multiple offers within days.
4. Interest Rates: The New Normal
Rates have hovered between 6.4% and 6.7% for most of the year, and while they’ve spooked some would-be buyers, most have come to terms with this “new normal.” Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) and buydown strategies are seeing more traction again.
5. Investors: Back in Play
With rent prices still strong and steady population growth in Northern Virginia, more investors are re-entering the market. Smaller multifamily properties and townhomes are drawing attention for their income potential.
Bottom Line:
Northern Virginia real estate is no longer defined by extremes—it’s defined by intention. Sellers need to price smart. Buyers need to be ready. And both need to understand the hyper-local nature of today’s market.
If you're thinking of making a move before 2025 ends, now’s the time to pay attention. The opportunities are still here—they’re just not waiting around.
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